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Read online Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI (Claves. Sociedad, economía, política).pdf PDF, EPUB, MOBI, TXT, DOC Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI (Claves. Sociedad, economía, política) Los lectores disfrutar n con este conjunto de inteligentes analog as hist ricas an lisis econ micos y sorprendentes datos demogr ficos .

Mediante una combinaci n nica de realismo y audaces especulaciones sobre el futuro Friedman ofrece un recorrido global a trav s de los escenarios de guerra y paz del siglo XXI .

Tomando la geopol tica como gu a George Friedman nos conduce en este fascinante libro a trav s de las guerras los cambios tecnol gicos y las transformaciones que definir n la actual centuria Muchos de estos pron sticos podr an despertar escepticismo en el lector sin embargo gran parte de los sucesos ocurridos durante los ltimos cien a os les hubieran parecido inconcebibles y fantasiosos a los habitantes de pocas anteriores Hablamos de fen menos tales como la bomba at mica el viaje a la Luna la ingenier a gen tica Internet el movimiento feminista y el calentamiento global No tengo ninguna bola de cristal Pero tengo un m todo que por imperfecto que pueda ser me ha servido mucho para comprender el pasado y prevenir el futuro Mi tarea es tratar de ver el orden bajo el desorden de la historia by George Friedman, Enrique Mercado

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Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI (Claves. Sociedad, economía, política)
Title:Los próximos 100 años: Pronósticos para el siglo XXI (Claves. Sociedad, economía, política)
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Category:Non fiction, Politics, History, Economics, Science
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The Coming War With Japan, The Intelligence Edge: How to Profit in the Information Age, The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century, Borderlands: A Geopolitical Journey in Eurasia, The Next Decade: What the World Will Look Like, America's Secret War: Inside the Hidden Worldwide Struggle Between the United States and Its Enemies, Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe, Constraint Theory: Multidimensional Mathematical Model Management, America's Secret War, The Future of War: Power, Technology and American World Dominance in the Twenty-first Century
Some people travel the world to sample wines others to experience art or enjoy the climate STRATFOR founder Dr George Friedman ventures abroad to observe political fault lines and find where politics and geography intersect In his visit to Turkey Moldova Romania Ukraine and Poland Dr Friedman found a land stranded between Europe and Russia where memories run deep and nothing is ever casual His reflections on the journey are as personal as they are historically informed, b The author of the acclaimed i New York Times i bestseller i The Next Years i now focuses his geopolitical forecasting acumen on the next decade and the imminent events and challenges that will test America and the world specifically addressing the skills that will be required by the decade s leaders b br br The next ten years will be a time of massive transition The wars in the Islamic world will be subsiding and terrorism will become something we learn to live with China will be encountering its crisis We will be moving from a time when financial crises dominate the world to a time when labor shortages will begin to dominate The new century will be taking shape in the next decade br br In i The Next Decade i George Friedman offers readers a pro vocative and endlessly fascinating prognosis for the immedi ate future Using Machiavelli s i The Prince i as a model Friedman focuses on the world s leaders particularly the American president and with his trusted geopolitical insight analyzes the complex chess game they will all have to play The book also asks how to be a good president in a decade of extraordinary challenge and puts the world s leaders under a microscope to explain how they will arrive at the decisions they will make and the consequences these actions will have for us all br br br i From the Hardcover edition i, Dubbed by i Barron s i as The Shadow CIA George Friedman s global intelligence company Stratfor has provided analysis to Fortune companies news outlets and even the U S government Now Friedman delivers the geopolitical story that the mainstream media has been unable to uncover the startling truth behind America s foreign policy and war effort in Afghanistan Iraq and beyond b br b br Stratfor one of the world s most respected private global intelligence firms has an unmatched ability to provide clear perspective on the current geopolitical map In America s Secret War George Friedman identifies the United States most dangerous enemies delves into presidential strategies of the last quarter century and reveals the real reasons behind the attack of and the Bush administration s motivation for the war in Iraq It describes in eye opening detail America s covert and overt efforts in the global war against terrorism Not only are U S armies in combat on every continent but since the intelligence services of dozens of nations have been operating in close partnership with the CIA br br Drawing on Stratfor s vast information gathering network Friedman presents an insightful picture of today s world that goes far beyond what is reported on television and in other news media br br Al Qaeda s war plans and how they led to br br The threat of a suitcase nuclear bomb in New York and how that changed the course of the war br br The deal the U S made with Russia and Iran which made the invasion of Afghanistan possible and how those deals affect the United States today br br How fear and suspicion of the Saudis after tore apart the Bush Saudi relationship and why Saudi Arabia s closest friends in the administration became the Saudi s worst enemies br br The real reasons behind George W Bush s invasion of Iraq and how WMD became the cover for a much deeper game br br How the CIA miscalculated about Saddam Hussein s and Iran s real plans leaving the U S bogged down in the war br br How the war in Iraq began with a ruse pretending that a target of opportunity attack on Saddam Hussein had presented itself br br The real story about why the U S raises and lowers its alert status and why the United States can t find and destroy al Qaeda br br The strategic successes that are slowly leading the United States to victory br br America s Secret War is an unprecedented look at the new world war being waged behind the scenes today It is sure to stir debate and capture headlines around the world, Conventional analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination It imagines passing clouds to be permanent and is blind to powerful long term shifts taking place in full view of the world George Friedman b b br br In his long awaited and provocative new book George Friedman turns his eye on the future offering a lucid highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty first century He explains where and why future wars will erupt and how they will be fought which nations will gain and lose economic and political power and how new technologies and cultural trends will alter the way we live in the new century br i The Next Years i draws on a fascinating exploration of history and geopolitical patterns dating back hundreds of years Friedman shows that we are now for the first time in half a millennium at the dawn of a new era with changes in store including br br The U S Jihadist war will conclude replaced by a second full blown cold war with Russia br China will undergo a major extended internal crisis and Mexico will emerge as an important world power br A new global war will unfold toward the middle of the century between the United States and an unexpected coalition from Eastern Europe Eurasia and the Far East but armies will be much smaller and wars will be less deadly br Technology will focus on space both for major military uses and for a dramatic new energy resource that will have radical environmental implications br The United States will experience a Golden Age in the second half of the century br br Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made George Friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting i The Next Years i presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead br br For continual updated analysis and supplemental material go to a target blank href http www Stratfor com rel nofollow www Stratfor com a